Posted: Nov 6, 2012 5:04 PM by Meteorologist Mike Rawlins
Updated: Nov 6, 2012 5:04 PM
A significant winter storm will hit Montana later this week, and we expect major impacts across the state.
For over a week, the STORMTracker Weather Team has been tracking this system using computer forecast models.
Now, we're starting to pick up on some of the finer details regarding the timing, amounts and impacts this winter storm will have on Big Sky Country.
Just so you get an idea of what we look at behind the scenes, take a look at the image below.
This is the 12Z (5am MST) run of the NAM model for snowfall.
By following the legend along the bottom, you can see this particular model solution lays down over a foot of snow across central Montana through Saturday.
Here's the 12Z GFS model run showing accumulated snowfall for the same period.
Yes, there are some subtle differences in the locations of heaviest snowfall, but overall, the two models are remarkably similar.
For meteorologists, seeing very similar model solutions time after time gives us high confidence in this being a major event for Montana.
The National Weather Service also issues a snowfall forecast and here's their latest numbers.
Stay with STORMTracker Weather for continuous coverage of this winter storm.